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Odd Lots · September 1, 2026 · 59m

Adam Posen Thinks Things Could Get Very 'Messy' for the Fed

Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, joins Odd Lots to discuss the state of Federal Reserve policy following Kevin Warsh's hawkish speech at Jackson Hole. The conversation covers the Fed's challenge of curbing persistent inflation, why US inflation dynamics differ from other countries, and how the Treasury's bond market operations could compromise central bank independence. Posen also assesses the Fed's internal task forces, explains the 'messy jobs' theory of AI's impact on labor, and unpacks what Warsh means by wanting a 'good family fight' inside the FOMC.

This summary was generated from show notes and public descriptions, not from a full transcript review. Details may contain inaccuracies.

Preview

The Fed Is at a Tipping Point on Rate Hikes
Posen assesses whether the Fed will follow through on the hawkish signals from Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech and actually raise rates further to combat inflation.
US Inflation Is Structurally Different from International Peers
Posen explains that American inflation dynamics are diverging from those in other advanced economies, driven by unique fiscal and structural factors.

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