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The Resource Curse (Dutch Disease)

Observed economic phenomenon · Various academic studies (e.g., Auty 1993) (1993)

Confidence: High

The resource curse (or paradox of plenty) is the observation that countries with abundant natural resources tend to have less economic growth and worse development outcomes than those without. The phenomenon is often attributed to currency appreciation (Dutch disease), governance failures, and economic mismanagement.

Core Concepts

The Problem

Resource-rich countries often become dependent on volatile commodity exports, leading to deindustrialization and political corruption.

The Claim

Prudent management, like Norway's sovereign wealth fund, can mitigate the curse.

Key Evidence

  • Many oil-rich countries like Venezuela and Nigeria have suffered stagnation
  • Norway's counterexample shows institutional design matters

Practical Implication

How a country manages a resource windfall determines its long-term prosperity, not the resource itself.

Nuance & Limits

The curse is not inevitable; it depends on pre-existing institutions, fiscal discipline, and diversification.

Source Material

Citation Density

Extensive in economics literature

Gaps

  • The exact mechanisms and necessary conditions for avoidance are still debated.

Citation Trend

2026-055 citations2026-09

Who's Talking About This

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