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Odd Lots · August 14, 2026 · 55m

A Historic El Niño Is Coming That Could Cost the World Trillions

Justin Mankin
Show Notes

El Niño events come around every few years, but this year's emerging event is forecast to be record-breaking. Justin Mankin, professor of geography at Dartmouth and director of the Climate Modeling and Impacts Group, explains what El Niño is and how forecasters track it. He discusses why these events can cause devastating droughts, flooding, and other catastrophes, and why the economic damage can be large and long-lasting. The episode also looks at what a super El Niño might reveal about life in 2035.

This summary was generated from show notes and public descriptions, not from a full transcript review. Details may contain inaccuracies.

Highlights

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A Historic El Niño Is Forecast for Record-Breaking Intensity
Mankin says this year's emerging El Niño could be one of the big ones, with forecasters predicting record-breaking intensity.
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What an El Niño Is and How Forecasters Track It
Mankin walks through what an El Niño is and how forecasters predict its strength and path.
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El Niño's Economic Damage Is Large and Long-Lasting
Mankin explains that severe El Niño events can produce large and long-lasting economic damage.
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A Super El Niño Offers a Glimpse of Life in 2035
The episode's related reading argues that a super El Niño will give a glimpse of life in 2035.
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