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The Indicator from Planet Money · August 5, 2024 · 10m

Why Restaurants Keep Closing Despite Record Demand

The Indicator investigates the restaurant paradox: Americans are spending more than ever on dining out, but restaurant closures hit a 5-year high. The team traces the cause to a cost squeeze: food, labor, and rent all increased faster than menu prices.

This summary was generated from show notes and public descriptions, not from a full transcript review. Details may contain inaccuracies.

Canon

The team argues that consumers have adapted to restaurant prices and now resist further increases. Each price hike was absorbed and became the new baseline, but the tolerance for additional increases has been exhausted — forcing restaurants to absorb costs instead.

Highlights

Restaurant spending hit records in 2024 but so did closures — the problem isn't demand, it's a cost squeeze where food (+23%), labor (+28%), and rent all outpaced menu price increases (+8%)
The team presents the math: since 2020, food costs rose 23%, labor costs rose 28%, and rent rose 15%, but average menu prices only rose 8-10%. Restaurants are selling more but keeping less — the margin squeeze is killing viable businesses.
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