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BiggerPockets Real Estate · September 2, 2026 · 31m

The New (Better) 1% Rule for Real Estate

Dave Meyer introduces a new rule of thumb for analyzing rental property cash flow: the rent-to-payment ratio. He explains why the classic 1% rule is broken in 2026 because it ignores mortgage rates, taxes, and insurance, which have all risen. The new ratio compares estimated rents directly to the PITI payment, giving a clear yes/no on whether a deal will cash flow. Dave also shares a market-ranking spreadsheet that highlights U.S. cities with the best rent-to-payment ratios, helping investors quickly spot opportunities.

This summary was generated from show notes and public descriptions, not from a full transcript review. Details may contain inaccuracies.

Highlights

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The 1% Rule Is Broken in 2026
The once-popular rule of thumb that a property should rent for at least 1% of the purchase price monthly fails to account for rising expenses.
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Rent-to-Payment Ratio Solves the Expense Blind Spot
Instead of comparing rent to price, the new rent-to-payment ratio divides estimated rent by the total PITI payment to directly gauge cash-flow potential.
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A Market-Ranking Spreadsheet Gives Investors a National View
Dave built a spreadsheet that ranks U.S. real estate markets based on their rent-to-payment ratios, revealing where cash flow might still work.
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The Rise of Expenses Demands a Shift from Price-Centric to Expense-Centric Analysis
The episode underscores that in an environment where carrying costs dominate, analyzing the expense side of a deal is as important as the purchase price.
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