Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028

Nate Silver joins Chamath, Jason, Sacks, and Friedberg to discuss the state of American politics. He breaks down the ongoing Democratic civil war among the left, abundance liberals, and Newsom's resistance base. Silver predicts a 85-90% likelihood of Democrats taking the House in 2026, identifies the Senate as a toss-up with a wildcard in gas prices driven by Iran, and explains how algorithmic social media is deepening polarization. He also shares his early bet that AOC, not Newsom, will be the Democratic nominee in 2028.